{"id":8027,"date":"2023-03-17T18:30:14","date_gmt":"2023-03-17T15:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=8027"},"modified":"2023-03-17T18:30:14","modified_gmt":"2023-03-17T15:30:14","slug":"afaddan-bursa-icin-deprem-raporu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/17\/afaddan-bursa-icin-deprem-raporu\/","title":{"rendered":"AFAD’dan Bursa i\u00e7in Deprem Raporu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli depremlerin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6zler B\u00fcy\u00fck Marmara Depremine \u00e7evrildi. AFAD-RED raporunda Bursa ile ilgili \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan veriler dikkat \u00e7ekti. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda haz\u0131rlanan senaryoya g\u00f6re 6,9 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki depremde 18 binden fazla ki\u015finin hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybedece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. 650 bin konutun oldu\u011fu Bursa’da 2004 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6ncesine ait riskli 200 bin bina bulunuyor.
\n<\/span><\/strong>
\nBursa AFAD \u015eube M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Bursa’da ya\u015fanabilecek muhtemel afetler i\u00e7in \u00e7ok detayl\u0131 bir rapor haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Farkl\u0131 senaryolar\u0131n uygulan\u0131p sonu\u00e7land\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda tatbikatlardan, deprem sonras\u0131 toplanma yerlerine, olu\u015fturulacak konteyner kentler, ya\u015fanacak kay\u0131plar ve y\u0131k\u0131mlara kadar muhtemel detaylar yer al\u0131yor.<\/span>
\n\u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Afet ve Acil Durum Y\u00f6netimi Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan olu\u015fturulan hem ger\u00e7ek bir depremin hem de senaryo bir depremin olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi hasar ve kayba ili\u015fkin sonu\u00e7lar \u00fcreten AFAD Deprem \u00d6n Hasar ve Kay\u0131p Tahmin Sistemi (AFAD-RED) T\u00fcrkiye geneli fay haritas\u0131na g\u00f6re Bursa ile ilgili 2 ayr\u0131 senaryo olu\u015fturdu. Bu senaryo sonucuna g\u00f6re Bursa AFAD taraf\u0131ndan da bir rapor haz\u0131rland\u0131.<\/span>
\nAFAD Deprem Dairesi Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve akademik i\u015fbirli\u011fi ile geli\u015ftirilen AFAD-RED yaz\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ile saat 15.00\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 6.9 olan bir deprem meydana gelmi\u015f gibi olu\u015fturulan ilk senaryoda; Bursa’da n\u00fcfusun en yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu il\u00e7eleri etkileyecek fay ve bu fay \u00fczerindeki muhtemel en b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem ihtimal olarak kayda al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/span>
\n6.9 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki deprem sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanacaklar\u0131n analiz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ve tahmini sismik \u015fiddet haritas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. Olu\u015fabilecek maksimum \u015fiddetteki, y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 depremde Bursa genelinde 18 bin 360 can kayb\u0131 ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131, 34 bin 475 a\u011f\u0131r yaral\u0131, 54 bin 564 hafif yaral\u0131 vatanda\u015f\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nDepremden etkilenen toplam n\u00fcfus Bursa i\u00e7in 2 milyon 872 bin 079 ki\u015fi tespit edilirken, Yalova, Bilecik, K\u00fctahya, Sakarya, Eski\u015fehir gibi \u00e7evre iller de baz al\u0131narak 3 milyon 216 bin 336 ki\u015finin y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 depremden etkilenece\u011fi tahmin edildi. Toplam hasarl\u0131 bina say\u0131s\u0131 ise 323 bin 977 olarak hesapland\u0131. Bursa’da 872 bin 367 ki\u015finin ge\u00e7ici bar\u0131nmaya ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/span>
\n\u0130l\u00e7e baz\u0131nda ise Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m’da 8 bin 408, Osmangazi’de 4 bin 918, \u0130neg\u00f6l’de 2 bin 550, G\u00fcrsu’da 1021, Nil\u00fcfer’de 882, Kestel’de 545, Yeni\u015fehir’de 20, Mudanya’da 11, Gemlik’te 4, Keles’te 1 can kayb\u0131 tahmininde bulunuldu.<\/span>
\nY\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m’da 31 bin 359, Osmangazi’de 20 bin 256, \u0130neg\u00f6l’de 9. bin 125, G\u00fcrsu’da 3 bin 071, Nil\u00fcfer’de 2 bin 196, Kestel’de ise 2 bin 180, Yeni\u015fehir’de 151, Mudanya’da 87, Gemlik’te 67, Keles’te 55 binan\u0131n y\u0131k\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nY\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m’da 36 bin 206, Osmangazi’de 45 bin 440, \u0130neg\u00f6l’de 15 bin 92, Nil\u00fcfer’de 11 bin 332 binan\u0131n da a\u011f\u0131r hasar alaca\u011f\u0131 da ifade edildi.<\/span>
\nSenaryoda hasar tespit \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma grubu ve insan kaynaklar\u0131 kapasitesi 1703 ekip olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken var olan 276 ekip haricinde 1427 ekibe daha ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011fu belirlendi.<\/span>
\n\u0130kinci senaryo ise T\u00fcrkiye’de deprem \u00fcretme potansiyeli en y\u00fcksek olan Kuzey Anadolu Fay Zonunun g\u00fcney kolunda yer alan \u0130znik-Mekece-Geyve fay\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde meydana gelen Mw: 7.2 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki deprem senaryosu deprem masas\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 ile de\u011ferlendirilerek Bursa’da muhtemel etkileri \u00fczerinden olay tedbir tablolar\u0131 olu\u015fturuldu.<\/span>
\nDeprem senaryolar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Bursa AFAD taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan raporda Bursa’da depreme neden olabilecek en \u00f6nemli fay; do\u011fuda Derek\u0131z\u0131k-Burhaniye k\u00f6yleri ile bat\u0131da Uluabat g\u00f6l\u00fc aras\u0131nda uzanan yakla\u015f\u0131k 45 kilometre uzunlukta olan Bursa fay\u0131 olarak g\u00f6steriliyor. Ayr\u0131ca Bursa\u2019y\u0131 etkileyecek di\u011fer faylar ise Marmara Denizi’ndeki fay, Geyve – \u0130znik – Gemlik fay\u0131, Yeni\u015fehir – Bursa – Manyas fay\u0131 olarak belirtildi.<\/span>
\nAFAD\u2019\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda sadece deprem yer almad\u0131 bunun yan\u0131nda Heyelan, end\u00fcstriyel felaket, sel bask\u0131n\u0131 gibi Bursa i\u00e7in riskli bir \u00e7ok konuya de\u011finildi.<\/span>
\nRapora g\u00f6re; Bursa’da ya\u015fanan deprem d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki afet olaylar\u0131 incelendi\u011finde heyelan, su bask\u0131n\u0131, kaya d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve \u00e7\u0131\u011f dikkat \u00e7ekti. Heyelan Bursa ilinde en s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclen afet t\u00fcr\u00fc olup heyelanlar\u0131n en s\u0131k ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi il\u00e7eler \u0130neg\u00f6l, Orhangazi ve Gemlik’ olarak belirtildi. Marmara, Sakarya ve Susurluk Havzalar\u0131’nda yer alan Bursa\u2019da heyelandan sonra en s\u0131k g\u00f6zlemlenen afet t\u00fcr\u00fc ise su bask\u0131n\u0131 olarak belirlendi. Su bask\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130neg\u00f6l, Yeni\u015fehir, Karacabey ve Mustafakemalpa\u015fa il\u00e7elerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi. Di\u011fer afet t\u00fcrlerinden en \u00e7ok g\u00f6r\u00fcleni kaya d\u00fc\u015fmesi, Bursa’da 1950 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana 13 adet kaya d\u00fc\u015fmesi olay\u0131 ve 2 adet \u00e7\u0131\u011f olay\u0131 g\u00f6zlemlendi\u011fi anlat\u0131ld\u0131. Di\u011fer bir \u00f6nemli konu da raporda yer alan \u0130nsan Kaynakl\u0131 (Teknolojik) Afetlere de dikkat \u00e7ekilmesi. Yine raporda kurakl\u0131k konusu da afet \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/span>
\nAFAD\u2019\u0131n Bursa i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, senaryo ve tedbirlerde muhtemel bir durumda Bursa merkez ile 17 il\u00e7esinin \u00e7ad\u0131r ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere acil toplanma alanlar\u0131, \u00e7ad\u0131rkentler ve konteynerkentler hem n\u00fcfus hem de say\u0131 olarak verildi. Acil Toplanma Alan\u0131 olarak 321 mahalle i\u00e7in 880 b\u00f6lge ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken il\u00e7e baz\u0131nda ise Orhangazi 6 mahallede 19 toplanma alan\u0131, Gemlik 15 mahallede 38 toplanma alan\u0131, \u0130znik 5 mahallede 15 toplanma alan\u0131, Mudanya 8 mahallede 20 toplanma alan\u0131, Osmangazi 92 mahallede 238 toplanma alan\u0131 olarak ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu g\u00f6sterildi.<\/span>
\n\u00c7ad\u0131rkent konusu ise AFAD Bursa raporunda Acil \u00c7ad\u0131rkent ve \u00c7ad\u0131rkent olarak iki ayr\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcmle ele al\u0131nd\u0131. Acil \u00c7ad\u0131rkent i\u00e7in planlanan rakamlarda Bursa geneli i\u00e7in toplam 315 acil \u00e7ad\u0131rkent, 4 milyon 15 bin 319 metrekarede ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 10 metrekarelik alanlarda 68 bin 654 \u00e7ad\u0131r ve 90 bin 570 ki\u015fi olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/span>
\nMuhtemel bir afette \u00c7ad\u0131rkent verilerinde ise Bursa genelinde toplam 1 milyon 484 bin 684 metrekarelik alanda 15 \u00e7ad\u0131rkent, ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 25 metrekarelik alanlarda 11 bin 877 \u00e7ad\u0131r ve 59 bin 387 ki\u015fi olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span>
\nKonteynerkentler olarak Bursa genelinde toplamda 3 konteynerkentte 459 bin 91 metrekarelik alanda 9 bin 182 konteynerkent kurulaca\u011f\u0131 AFAD Bursa raporunda a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli depremlerin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6zler B\u00fcy\u00fck Marmara Depremine \u00e7evrildi. AFAD-RED raporunda Bursa ile ilgili \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan veriler dikkat \u00e7ekti. 2021<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":8030,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[1,5,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","category-gundem","category-siyaset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8027","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8027"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8027\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8030"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8027"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8027"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8027"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}