{"id":25025,"date":"2024-05-17T16:57:53","date_gmt":"2024-05-17T13:57:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=25025"},"modified":"2024-05-17T16:57:53","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T13:57:53","slug":"yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-beklentisi-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/17\/yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-beklentisi-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l Sonu Dolar Kuru Beklentisi Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasan\u0131n y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 43,64 seviyesine, dolar\/TL tahmini 38,78 liraya geriledi.
\n<\/span><\/strong>
\nT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), May\u0131s ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi payla\u015ft\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 67 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131yla olu\u015fturulan anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 44,16 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,64 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 35,17 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,21 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 22,05 ve y\u00fczde 21,33 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\n12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2024 y\u0131l\u0131 May\u0131s ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 33,06 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 28,00 – 31,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 37,51 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 32,00 – 35,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 21,09 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 36,00 – 39,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 36,07\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 28,00 – 31,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 37,70\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 32,00 – 35,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 19,67\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 36,00 – 39,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\n24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2024 y\u0131l\u0131 May\u0131s ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 24,24 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 16,00 – 19,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 43,47 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 20,00 – 23,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 21,25 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 24,00 – 27,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 29,63\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 16,00 – 19,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 42,59\u2018unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 20,00 – 23,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 16,67\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 24,00 – 27,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\nFaiz beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 51,43 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 51,51 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi bu anket d\u00f6neminde de y\u00fczde 50,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nD\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 40,01 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 38,78 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 42,47 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 41,80 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nGSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 ve 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi bu anket d\u00f6neminde de s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 3,3 ve 3,7 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasan\u0131n y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 43,64 seviyesine, dolar\/TL tahmini 38,78 liraya geriledi. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), May\u0131s ay\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":17887,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25025","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25025"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25025\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}