{"id":24338,"date":"2024-04-19T11:45:42","date_gmt":"2024-04-19T08:45:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=24338"},"modified":"2024-04-19T11:45:42","modified_gmt":"2024-04-19T08:45:42","slug":"yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-tahmini-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/19\/yil-sonu-dolar-kuru-tahmini-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l Sonu Dolar Kuru Tahmini Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinde cari y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 40,53 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 40,01 TL oldu.
\n<\/span><\/strong>
\nT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131na ait Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 68 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131ndan olu\u015fturulan ankete g\u00f6re, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 44,19 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 44,16 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 36,70 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 35,17 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 22,67 ve y\u00fczde 22,05 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\n12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 36,36 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 30,00 – 33,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 38,96 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 34,00 – 37,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 13,30 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 38,00 – 41,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 32,81\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 30,00 – 33,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 34,38\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 34,00 – 37,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 20,31\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 38,00 – 41,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\n24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 28,70 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 16,00 – 20,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 52,52 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 21,00 – 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 9,08 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 26,00 – 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 33,93\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 16,00 – 20,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 42,86\u2018s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 21,00 – 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 12,50\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 26,00 – 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\nFaiz beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,82 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 51,43 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,00 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 50,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nD\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 40,53 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 40,01 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 42,79 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 42,47 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nGSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde ve bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,3 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. GSYH 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,8 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,7 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinde cari y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 40,53 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 40,01<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":10499,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24338","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24338"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24338\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10499"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24338"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24338"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24338"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}