{"id":17886,"date":"2023-11-17T12:32:54","date_gmt":"2023-11-17T09:32:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=17886"},"modified":"2023-11-17T12:32:54","modified_gmt":"2023-11-17T09:32:54","slug":"enflasyon-tahmini-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2023\/11\/17\/enflasyon-tahmini-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Enflasyon Tahmini Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kas\u0131m piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmini bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 0,78 puan gerileyerek y\u00fczde 67,23 oldu. Dolar kuru beklentisi ise 30 liraya indi.
\n<\/span><\/strong>
\nT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 69 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131ndan olu\u015fturulan sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 68,01 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 67,23 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,28 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,94 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 25,82 ve y\u00fczde 25,09 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\n12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 18,18 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 37,00 – 41,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 58,61 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 42,00 – 46,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 15,80 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 47,00 – 51,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 21,21\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 37,00 – 41,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 48,48\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 42,00 – 46,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 21,21\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 47,00 – 51,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\n24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 29,62 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 18,00 – 22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 36,70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 23,00 – 27,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 25,78 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 28,00 – 32,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 30,00\u2018\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 18,00 – 22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 36,67\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 23,00 – 27,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 25,00\u2018\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 28,00 – 32,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\nFaiz beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,22 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 37,71 olmu\u015ftur. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,68 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 37,80 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nD\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 30,05 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 30,00 TL olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 38,64 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 39,62 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nGSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde ve bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,4 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,3 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kas\u0131m piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmini bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 0,78 puan gerileyerek y\u00fczde 67,23<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":17887,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17886\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}