{"id":16925,"date":"2023-10-20T17:56:51","date_gmt":"2023-10-20T14:56:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=16925"},"modified":"2023-10-20T17:58:21","modified_gmt":"2023-10-20T14:58:21","slug":"enflasyon-tahmini-yuzde-6801e-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2023\/10\/20\/enflasyon-tahmini-yuzde-6801e-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Enflasyon Tahmini Y\u00fczde 68,01’e Y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ekim ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinde y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 30,05 liraya gerilerken, enflasyon tahmini ise y\u00fczde 68,01’e y\u00fckseldi.
\n<\/span><\/strong>
\nT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), 2023 Ekim ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketini payla\u015ft\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 70 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yan\u0131tlanan anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 67,22 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 68,01 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 44,94 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,28 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 23,87 ve y\u00fczde 25,82 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\n12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 14,77 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 37,00 – 42,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 56,03 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 43,00 – 48,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,77 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 49,00 – 54,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 18,46\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 37,00 – 42,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 56,92\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 43,00 – 48,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 15,38\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 49,00 – 54,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\n24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 41,66 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 19,00 – 24,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 30,31 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 25,00 – 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 16,52 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 31,00 – 36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 33,87\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 19,00 – 24,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,48\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 25,00 – 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 17,74\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 31,00 – 36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\nFaiz beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 29,26 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,22 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 30,00 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,68 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.
\n<\/span>
\nD\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 30,14 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 30,05 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 37,26 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 38,64 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nGSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,9 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,8 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ekim ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinde y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 30,05 liraya gerilerken, enflasyon tahmini ise y\u00fczde 68,01’e y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcrkiye<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":16926,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16925"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16925\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16926"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}