{"id":15256,"date":"2023-09-15T13:28:14","date_gmt":"2023-09-15T10:28:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=15256"},"modified":"2023-09-15T13:28:14","modified_gmt":"2023-09-15T10:28:14","slug":"yil-sonu-dolar-tahmini-yukseldi-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2023\/09\/15\/yil-sonu-dolar-tahmini-yukseldi-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l Sonu Dolar Tahmini Y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 anketinde y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 30,14 TL\u2019ye enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 67,22\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi.
\n<\/span><\/strong>
\nT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketini yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcileri ile profesyonellerden olu\u015fan 41 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131yla elde edilen sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re, y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 30,14 TL\u2019ye enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 67,22\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/span>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 59,46 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 67,22 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 42,01 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 44,94 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 22,54 ve y\u00fczde 23,87 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\n12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 13,44 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 32,00 – 39,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 48,77 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 40,00 – 47,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 26,19 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 48,00 – 55,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 15,79\u2019unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 32,00 – 39,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 52,63\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 40,00 – 47,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 23,68\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 48,00 – 55,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\n24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 39,17 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 18,00 – 23,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 39,46 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 24,00 – 29,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 9,98 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 30,00 – 35,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 38,24\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 18,00 – 23,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 44,12\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 24,00 – 29,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 11,76\u2018s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 30,00 – 35,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\nFaiz beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,34 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 29,26 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,19 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 30 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nD\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 29,82 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 30,14 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 34,58 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 37,26 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nGSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,7 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,9 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 4,0 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,8 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 anketinde y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 30,14 TL\u2019ye enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 67,22\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB),<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":15258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15256","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15256"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15256\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15258"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}