{"id":13971,"date":"2023-08-18T13:39:07","date_gmt":"2023-08-18T10:39:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/?p=13971"},"modified":"2023-08-18T13:39:07","modified_gmt":"2023-08-18T10:39:07","slug":"yil-sonu-dolar-tahmini-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/2023\/08\/18\/yil-sonu-dolar-tahmini-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l Sonu Dolar Tahmini Y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 29,82 TL\u2019ye, enflasyon beklentisi 59,46 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi.
\n<\/span><\/strong><\/span>
\nT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), Haziran ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketini payla\u015ft\u0131. Reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcileri ile profesyonellerden olu\u015fan 40 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131ndan elde edilen sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,82 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 59,46 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,21 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 42,01 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 19,04 ve y\u00fczde 22,54 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\n12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 A\u011fustos ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 42,86 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 37,00 – 43,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 31,77 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 44,00 – 50,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 37,84\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 37,00 – 43,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,14\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin ise y\u00fczde 44,00 – 50,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\n24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\n2023 y\u0131l\u0131 A\u011fustos ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 27,84 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 16,00 – 20,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 34,53 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 21,00 – 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,85 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 26,00 – 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span>
\nAyn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 30,30\u2018unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 16,00 – 20,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 39,39\u2018unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 21,00 – 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,18\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 26,00 – 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.
\n<\/span>
\nFaiz beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 18,94 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,34 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,17 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,19 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nD\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 28,46 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 29,82 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 31,42 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 34,58 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.
\n<\/span>
\nGSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/span><\/strong>
\nKat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde ve bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,7 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 4,3 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 4,0 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n y\u0131l sonu dolar kuru tahmini 29,82 TL\u2019ye, enflasyon beklentisi 59,46 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":13973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-genel","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13971"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13971\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marmarayerelhizmet.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}